Manhattan Q2, 2025 Market Report

Manhattan Q2, 2025 Market Report

  • Darrell Wiliams
  • 07/23/25

Manhattan Real Estate Market Q2 2025: Click here to access the report

What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know

The Manhattan real estate market demonstrated its resilience in Q2 2025, with a solid 14.5% quarter-over-quarter increase in closed sales and a 5.2% year-over-year rise in sales. This strong performance comes amid economic uncertainty and is largely fueled by cash-ready buyers and long-term investors capitalizing on lifestyle-driven real estate opportunities.

Ultra-Luxury and Condo Markets Drive Growth

One of the most notable trends this quarter was the 66.7% surge in sales for the $10 million+ segment. High-net-worth buyers, many of whom are relocating from California and Florida, are flocking to New York for its long-term value, premium amenities, and global prestige. Unlike rate-sensitive buyers, these purchasers are largely unaffected by interest rates, thanks to their high liquidity and the transfer of wealth across generations.

Condos continued to outshine co-ops, with a 13.7% year-over-year sales increase. The appeal? Flexibility, simplified ownership, and strong rental potential. New development condos with luxury amenities remain particularly attractive, signaling ongoing demand for turnkey properties. In contrast, co-ops saw a 1.5% sales decline, hindered by stricter subletting policies and slower board processes.

Inventory & Buyer Behavior: What's Changing

Although overall inventory rose 4.4% year-over-year to just under 6,700 active listings, new listings fell by 14.1%. Many homeowners remain reluctant to sell, as they are locked into low mortgage rates. This has led to limited supply across all price points, intensifying competition for well-priced, move-in-ready properties.

Contract activity dropped 4.9% year-over-year, reflecting buyer hesitancy and policy-related uncertainty. Yet, there's strong interest in the $3–$5 million bracket, where contract activity rose 18.4%, driven by younger, move-up buyers seeking more space.

By the Numbers: Key Q2 2025 Stats

  • Average Sales Price: $2,148,691

  • Median Sales Price: $1,210,000

  • Average Price/SF: $1,531

  • Average Days on Market: 208

  • Condos Average Price: $3,022,675

  • Co-ops Average Price: $1,358,353

Neighborhood Highlights

  • Downtown Manhattan led with 27.5% market share and 11.2% YoY growth.

  • Upper West Side and Midtown East posted double-digit gains in condo contracts.

  • Midtown West saw a 23.6% surge in inventory and higher price-per-square-foot averages.

What This Means for Buyers

If you're shopping for a Manhattan home, competition is fiercest in the turnkey segment. Be ready to move quickly—especially in the $3M–$5M range, where inventory is limited and demand is strong. Favor condos if you want flexible ownership and easier rental potential. With interest rates still elevated, cash buyers hold a distinct advantage.

What This Means for Sellers

Manhattan remains a globally desirable market; however, pricing strategically is crucial. Well-priced, updated homes are drawing multiple offers, while overpriced or dated listings are stagnating. If you're holding out due to low mortgage rates, consider the long-term value of upgrading or downsizing in this strong market.

Condo vs. Co-op: A Clear Divide

Condominiums led the charge this quarter, posting a 20.5% quarter-over-quarter increase in closed sales and a 13.7% year-over-year growth, fueled by demand for flexibility, ease of subletting, and rental potential. In contrast, co-op sales grew just 9.6% since Q1 and declined 1.5% year-over-year, as stricter board approvals and subletting limitations continue to curb demand.

Here's how the numbers break down:

Q2 2025 Condo Sales:

  • Closed Sales: 1,285

  • Sales Volume: $3.88B

  • Median Price: $1,705,568

  • Average Price: $3,022,675

  • Average Price per Sq Ft: $1,766

  • Average Size: 1,436 SF

  • Average Discount: 7%

Q2 2025 Co-op Sales:

  • Closed Sales: 1,421

  • Sales Volume: $1.93B

  • Median Price: $865,000

  • Average Price: $1,358,353

  • Average Price per Sq Ft: Reported where available

  • Average Discount: 8%

Buyer & Seller Takeaways

Buyers: The market remains competitive, particularly for move-in-ready condos in the $1.5 million to $5 million range. With new listings down 14.1% year-over-year, it's essential to act decisively when the right opportunity arises.

Sellers: Condos continue to attract a larger buyer pool, especially younger professionals and investors. Co-op sellers should focus on staging and pricing strategically to counterbalance longer approval timelines and stricter policies.

Looking Ahead

While June ended on a slower note due to geopolitical events and election-year uncertainty, Manhattan's fundamentals, including limited land, global cachet, and high lifestyle demand, continue to support long-term growth. With a potentially pivotal mayoral race on the horizon, policy shifts may influence future market dynamics. Nevertheless, Manhattan remains one of the most stable and sought-after real estate markets worldwide.

 

Work With Darrell

Darrell Williams works in Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx. His expertise includes new development sales/leasing projects, investment sales, and 1st time home buyers. Whether you're purchasing or selling, he'll keep you feeling comfortable and confident from start to end.

Follow Me on Instagram